Updated 10 November 2026 · data: Coinbase (live price) and historical daily closes
934 days (week 133) after its halving, Bitcoin's 2024 cycle is at 1.13× its halving-day price. At the same point, 2020 was at 1.93×, 2016 was at 5.22×, 2012 was at 19.86×. That puts this cycle below both the 2016 and 2020 cycles on this measure.
| Cycle | Date at day 934 | Price | × halving price | × price 500 days before | From cycle high so far | Cycle high so far |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10 November 2026 | $73,560 | 1.13× | 4.37× | −41.0% | $124,720 day 534 |
| 2020 | 1 December 2022 | $16,967 | 1.93× | 4.73× | −74.9% | $67,634 day 547 |
| 2016 | 29 January 2019 | $3,395 | 5.22× | 14.31× | −82.4% | $19,343 day 525 |
| 2012 | 20 June 2015 | $245.26 | 19.86× | 18.64× | −78.6% | $1,147 day 371 |
The previous cycle is the 2020 cycle, which started at the 11 May 2020 halving (block 630,000). At day 934 of each, the 2024 cycle stands at 1.13× its halving-day price against 1.93× for 2020, as of 10 November 2026. The table above shows the same day for 2016 and 2012. Day numbers are used because the halvings fall on different calendar dates, and one day after the halving means the same thing in every cycle.
Position in the cycle can be stated as a day count and a distance from the high. Today that is day 934 after the 2024 halving, and 41.0% below the cycle high so far of $124,720 (day 534), as of 10 November 2026. The next halving is at block 1,050,000, expected around spring 2028, so the current epoch is not finished. Labels such as "early" or "late" in a cycle are interpretations. This page shows the numbers and leaves the interpretation to the reader.
Each cycle is measured from its own halving date (28 November 2012, 9 July 2016, 11 May 2020 and 20 April 2024) and compared at the same number of days after it. "× halving price" divides the price on that day by the price on halving day. "× price 500 days before" uses the price 500 days before the halving instead, which matches the "500 days before" setting on the chart. "Cycle high so far" is the highest daily close between the halving and that day.
The page updates every day. The week number counts whole weeks since 20 April 2024.
Compare each cycle at the same number of days after its own halving, and divide by the halving-day price so cycles of different size can be read together. This page does that daily for 2012, 2016, 2020 and 2024.
It depends on the measure. Against the halving-day price, the 2024 cycle at day 934 is at 1.13×, below the earlier three at the same day (1.93×, 5.22×, 19.86×), as of 10 November 2026. Against another base, or from the cycle high, the answer can differ. Both bases are on the chart.
It is the number of days since the halving at block 840,000 on 20 April 2024. Week 133 is the same point counted in weeks.
No. Past cycles are a reference. The sample is four cycles, and the market around Bitcoin has changed a lot since 2012.
The free chart shows the 2024 cycle week by week with the live price. Pro puts every cycle, 2012 to 2024, on the same axis.
Compare every cycle with Pro Open the free 2024 chartDays since the halving · Next halving countdown · Halving dates and FAQ · Price after each halving · Bear markets and cycle lows · Is the 4-year cycle dead? · Month by month after the halving · Halving schedule to 2140 · Data (JSON)
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Charts and figures are for education and research. Past cycles don't predict future prices. Not financial advice.